Selected American Shares Fund Market Value

SLASX Fund  USD 38.39  0.02  0.05%   
Selected American's market value is the price at which a share of Selected American trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Selected American Shares investors about its performance. Selected American is trading at 38.39 as of the 14th of July 2025; that is 0.05 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 38.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Selected American Shares and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Selected American over a given investment horizon. Check out Selected American Correlation, Selected American Volatility and Selected American Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Selected American.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Selected American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selected American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selected American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Selected American 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Selected American's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Selected American.
0.00
04/15/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/14/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Selected American on April 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Selected American Shares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Selected American over 90 days. Selected American is related to or competes with Marsico Focus, Artisan International, Third Avenue, Oakmark Select, and William Blair. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowing for investment purposes, in securities issued... More

Selected American Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Selected American's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Selected American Shares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Selected American Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Selected American's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Selected American's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Selected American historical prices to predict the future Selected American's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Selected American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.3238.3739.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.5340.8741.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.0338.0839.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.0237.5539.08
Details

Selected American Shares Backtested Returns

Selected American appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Selected American Shares owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.26, which indicates the fund had a 0.26 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Selected American Shares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Selected American's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.309, semi deviation of 0.6658, and Coefficient Of Variation of 448.73 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 1.03, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Selected American returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Selected American is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.89  

Very good predictability

Selected American Shares has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Selected American time series from 15th of April 2025 to 30th of May 2025 and 30th of May 2025 to 14th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Selected American Shares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.89 indicates that approximately 89.0% of current Selected American price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.89
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.9

Selected American Shares lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Selected American mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Selected American's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Selected American returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Selected American has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Selected American regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Selected American mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Selected American mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Selected American mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Selected American Lagged Returns

When evaluating Selected American's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Selected American mutual fund have on its future price. Selected American autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Selected American autocorrelation shows the relationship between Selected American mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Selected American Shares.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Selected Mutual Fund

Selected American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Selected Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Selected with respect to the benefits of owning Selected American security.
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