CITIC Heavy (China) Market Value

601608 Stock   6.71  0.12  1.82%   
CITIC Heavy's market value is the price at which a share of CITIC Heavy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CITIC Heavy Industries investors about its performance. CITIC Heavy is trading at 6.71 as of the 12th of December 2025, a 1.82 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CITIC Heavy Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CITIC Heavy over a given investment horizon. Check out CITIC Heavy Correlation, CITIC Heavy Volatility and CITIC Heavy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CITIC Heavy.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CITIC Heavy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CITIC Heavy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CITIC Heavy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CITIC Heavy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CITIC Heavy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CITIC Heavy.
0.00
09/13/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/12/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CITIC Heavy on September 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CITIC Heavy Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in CITIC Heavy over 90 days. CITIC Heavy is related to or competes with Mingchen Health, Dezhan HealthCare, Zhejiang Kingland, Yunnan Jianzhijia, De Rucci, PKU HealthCare, and Anhui Huaren. CITIC Heavy is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHG exchange. More

CITIC Heavy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CITIC Heavy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CITIC Heavy Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CITIC Heavy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CITIC Heavy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CITIC Heavy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CITIC Heavy historical prices to predict the future CITIC Heavy's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.476.8110.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.215.558.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.797.1310.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

CITIC Heavy Industries Backtested Returns

CITIC Heavy appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. CITIC Heavy Industries secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for CITIC Heavy Industries, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of CITIC Heavy's risk adjusted performance of 0.1024, and Mean Deviation of 2.24 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, CITIC Heavy holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.56, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CITIC Heavy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CITIC Heavy is likely to outperform the market. Please check CITIC Heavy's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether CITIC Heavy's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.74  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

CITIC Heavy Industries has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CITIC Heavy time series from 13th of September 2025 to 28th of October 2025 and 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CITIC Heavy Industries price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current CITIC Heavy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.74
Spearman Rank Test-0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

CITIC Heavy Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CITIC Heavy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CITIC Heavy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CITIC Heavy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CITIC Heavy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CITIC Heavy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CITIC Heavy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CITIC Heavy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CITIC Heavy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CITIC Heavy Lagged Returns

When evaluating CITIC Heavy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CITIC Heavy stock have on its future price. CITIC Heavy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CITIC Heavy autocorrelation shows the relationship between CITIC Heavy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CITIC Heavy Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in CITIC Stock

CITIC Heavy financial ratios help investors to determine whether CITIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CITIC with respect to the benefits of owning CITIC Heavy security.