Centerra Gold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CGAU Stock  USD 11.73  0.07  0.59%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Centerra Gold is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Centerra Gold given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Centerra Gold, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.Check out Centerra Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Centerra Stock please use our How to Invest in Centerra Gold guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Centerra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Centerra Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Centerra Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The Centerra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Centerra Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Centerra Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Centerra Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Centerra GoldBuy Centerra Gold
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Centerra Gold has a Mean Deviation of 2.08, Semi Deviation of 2.93, Standard Deviation of 2.88, Variance of 8.28, Downside Variance of 13.41 and Semi Variance of 8.6
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Centerra Gold and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Centerra Gold is not overpriced, please confirm all Centerra Gold fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, working capital, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Centerra Gold has a number of shares shorted of 3.05 M, we suggest you to validate Centerra Gold market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Centerra Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Centerra Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thestar.com: Centerra Gold Announces Quarterly Dividend of C0.07 per Common Share

Centerra Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Centerra Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Centerra Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Centerra Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Centerra Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Centerra Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Centerra Gold.
Mean Return
0.88
Value At Risk
-4.85
Potential Upside
4.85
Standard Deviation
2.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Centerra Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Centerra Stock Institutional Investors

The Centerra Gold's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Centerra Gold's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Pale Fire Capital Se2025-06-30
3.5 M
Nuveen, Llc2025-06-30
2.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2025-06-30
2.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
2.5 M
Heartland Advisors Inc2025-06-30
2.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
2.2 M
Bank Of Montreal2025-06-30
2.2 M
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2025-06-30
2.2 M
Amundi2025-06-30
2.2 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2025-06-30
13.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
12.8 M
Note, although Centerra Gold's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Centerra Gold Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash502.5M402.1M(415.3M)81.0M11.7M11.1M
Free Cash Flow603.8M322.3M(82.9M)160.3M114.1M107.3M
Other Non Cash Items423.8M27.1M2.3M124.5M(38.5M)(36.6M)
Capital Expenditures326.2M92.5M80.9M85.3M184.3M196.4M
Net Income408.5M446.9M(77.2M)(82.8M)80.4M104.3M
End Period Cash Flow545.2M947.2M531.9M612.9M624.7M344.0M
Depreciation104.3M(3.9M)103.4M141.2M130.7M167.3M
Change To Inventory53.1M(21.4M)(76.4M)40.2M7.3M7.7M
Net Borrowings(132.1M)(83.5M)(6.5M)(6.8M)(7.8M)(8.2M)
Change To Netincome196.1M394.6M715.5M(18.7M)(21.5M)(20.5M)

Centerra Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Centerra Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Centerra Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Centerra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

Centerra Gold Volatility Alert

Centerra Gold shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Centerra Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Centerra Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Centerra Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Centerra Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Centerra Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Centerra Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Centerra Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Centerra Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centerra Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Centerra Gold to competition
FundamentalsCenterra GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0298-0.14
Profit Margin0.26 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.8 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding201.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.05 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.84 X11.42 X
Revenue1.21 B9.43 B
Gross Profit478.37 M27.38 B
EBITDA393.1 M3.9 B
Net Income80.39 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents723.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt20.11 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.17 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations298.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.61 X3.12 X
Target Price10.7
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization2.37 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings808.27 M9.33 B
Working Capital709.18 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset2.27 B

Centerra Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Centerra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Centerra Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Centerra Gold? Buying financial instruments such as Centerra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Centerra Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Mid Cap ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Centerra Stock Analysis

When running Centerra Gold's price analysis, check to measure Centerra Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centerra Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Centerra Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centerra Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centerra Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centerra Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.