Strathcona Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 54.44
| SCR Stock | CAD 42.81 0.74 1.70% |
Strathcona |
Strathcona Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 54.44
The tendency of Strathcona Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 54.44 or more in 90 days |
| 42.81 | 90 days | 54.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Strathcona Resources to move over C$ 54.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Strathcona Resources probability density function shows the probability of Strathcona Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Strathcona Resources price to stay between its current price of C$ 42.81 and C$ 54.44 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Strathcona Resources has a beta of 0.0163. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Strathcona Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Strathcona Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Strathcona Resources has an alpha of 0.1765, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Strathcona Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Strathcona Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strathcona Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Strathcona Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Strathcona Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Strathcona Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strathcona Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Strathcona Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Strathcona Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Strathcona Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Strathcona Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How Meren Energy Inc. stock reacts to stronger dollar - newser.com |
Strathcona Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Strathcona Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Strathcona Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strathcona Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 214.2 M |
Strathcona Resources Technical Analysis
Strathcona Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Strathcona Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strathcona Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Strathcona Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Strathcona Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Strathcona Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Strathcona Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Strathcona Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Strathcona Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Strathcona Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Strathcona Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How Meren Energy Inc. stock reacts to stronger dollar - newser.com |
Other Information on Investing in Strathcona Stock
Strathcona Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strathcona Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strathcona with respect to the benefits of owning Strathcona Resources security.