MPC Energy (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.13
| MPCES Stock | NOK 13.00 0.15 1.17% |
MPC |
MPC Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 7.13
The tendency of MPC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.13 or more in 90 days |
| 13.00 | 90 days | 7.13 | nearly 4.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MPC Energy to drop to 7.13 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.56 (This MPC Energy Solutions probability density function shows the probability of MPC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MPC Energy Solutions price to stay between 7.13 and its current price of 13.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This indicates MPC Energy Solutions market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MPC Energy is expected to follow. Additionally MPC Energy Solutions has an alpha of 0.4849, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MPC Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MPC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MPC Energy Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MPC Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MPC Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MPC Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MPC Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MPC Energy Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MPC Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
MPC Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MPC Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MPC Energy Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MPC Energy Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MPC Energy Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MPC Energy Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MPC Energy Solutions has accumulated about 56.92 M in cash with (3.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MPC Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MPC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MPC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MPC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.8 M |
MPC Energy Technical Analysis
MPC Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MPC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MPC Energy Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing MPC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MPC Energy Predictive Forecast Models
MPC Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many MPC Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MPC Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MPC Energy Solutions
Checking the ongoing alerts about MPC Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MPC Energy Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MPC Energy Solutions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MPC Energy Solutions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MPC Energy Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| MPC Energy Solutions has accumulated about 56.92 M in cash with (3.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MPC Stock
MPC Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether MPC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MPC with respect to the benefits of owning MPC Energy security.