Bcp Investment Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.06
| BCIC Stock | 11.66 0.21 1.83% |
Closest to current price BCP long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
BCP Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 9.06
The tendency of BCP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.06 or more in 90 days |
| 11.66 | 90 days | 9.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCP Investment to drop to 9.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BCP Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of BCP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCP Investment Corp price to stay between 9.06 and its current price of 11.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BCP Investment has a beta of 0.51 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BCP Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BCP Investment Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BCP Investment Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BCP Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BCP Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCP Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BCP Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCP Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCP Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCP Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCP Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
BCP Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCP Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCP Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BCP Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BCP Investment Corp was previously known as Portman Ridge Finance and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PTMN. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| BCP Investment Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Royalty Management vs. Portman Ridge Finance Critical Analysis |
BCP Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCP Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCP Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -25.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.5 M |
BCP Investment Technical Analysis
BCP Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCP Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BCP Investment Predictive Forecast Models
BCP Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCP Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCP Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BCP Investment Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about BCP Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCP Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BCP Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BCP Investment Corp was previously known as Portman Ridge Finance and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol PTMN. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| BCP Investment Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Royalty Management vs. Portman Ridge Finance Critical Analysis |
Check out BCP Investment Backtesting, BCP Investment Valuation, BCP Investment Correlation, BCP Investment Hype Analysis, BCP Investment Volatility, BCP Investment History as well as BCP Investment Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BCP Investment. If investors know BCP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BCP Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of BCP Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BCP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BCP Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BCP Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BCP Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BCP Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BCP Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BCP Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BCP Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.