Vontobel Holding Stock Forward View
| VONN Stock | CHF 67.60 -0.10 -0.15% |
Vontobel Holding's Naive Prediction reference data is presented on this page, derived from the application of the forecasting model to historical closing prices. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vontobel Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 66.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.50.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vontobel Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vontobel Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. The Naive Prediction reference information for Vontobel Holding is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vontobel Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 66.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.59 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.50 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vontobel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vontobel Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vontobel Holding | Vontobel Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Vontobel Holding focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 65.37 on the downside to about 67.80 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vontobel Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vontobel Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5656 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0084 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.5003 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vontobel Holding
For any investor considering Vontobel, Vontobel Holding's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Vontobel Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.Vontobel Holding Related Equities
The following equities are related to Vontobel Holding within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Vontobel Holding against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vontobel Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Vontobel Holding stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Vontobel Holding.
Vontobel Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vontobel Holding's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Vontobel Holding's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 0.913 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8949 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8008 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vontobel Holding
Story coverage around Vontobel Holding often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Vontobel Holding Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Vontobel Holding can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
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