Thales SA Pink Sheet Forward View
| THLLY Stock | USD 55.73 0.24 0.43% |
This reference view applies Naive Prediction to Thales SA ADR's historical closing prices. Thales SA ADR's Naive Prediction reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data. Thales SA ADR's forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. Mean absolute deviation and related metrics help quantify forecast uncertainty for Thales SA ADR.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thales SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 55.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.95.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Thales SA ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Thales SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. All forecast values on this page for Thales SA ADR are Naive Prediction reference data derived from historical price series. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Thales SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 55.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.13 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.95 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thales Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thales SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Thales SA ADR uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thales SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thales SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8689 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1631 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.9463 |
Other Forecasting Options for Thales SA
Volume-weighted price analysis for Thales Pink Sheet gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Thales momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Thales SA's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Thales Pink Sheet price action.Thales SA Related Equities
These stocks are related to Thales SA within the Aerospace & Defense space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Looking at Thales SA's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. Tracking Thales SA's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Thales SA Market Strength Events
Evaluating the market strength of Thales SA pink sheet allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. By monitoring these indicators, investors can identify the most opportune moments to trade Thales SA ADR. These metrics are particularly useful when Thales SA pink sheet shows divergence from broader market trends. Regularly reviewing Thales SA ADR strength signals helps maintain a structured approach to position management.
Thales SA Risk Indicators
Understanding Thales SA's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Thales SA's investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure. Reviewing Thales SA's basic risk indicators is essential for managing investment risk effectively. The risk-return trade-off for thales pink sheet becomes clearer when Thales SA's risk indicators are properly assessed.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Thales SA
Coverage intensity for Thales SA ADR matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Thales SA Short Properties
A short-interest review of Thales SA ADR provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
More Resources for Thales Pink Sheet Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Thales Pink Sheet
Key financial relationships within Thales SA are expressed through its ratios. These measures reflect profitability, cash flow, and enterprise value.