Lizhi Stock Forward View
| SOGP Stock | 13.35 -0.24 -1.77% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.469 |
This section provides headline-driven context for Lizhi Inc alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Lizhi's options activity and short interest context.
You may consult Interest Debt Per Share as well as Revenue Per Share.
Lizhi Implied Volatility | 1.26 |
Unlike historical volatility, which measures past price movements, Lizhi's implied volatility is a real-time gauge of how much uncertainty the options market is pricing into Lizhi's future price action.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lizhi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 13.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.24.Lizhi after-hype prediction price | $ 13.35 |
This view adds attention context to forecasting, technical signals, analyst estimates, and earnings data.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lizhi to cross-verify projections for Lizhi. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 for the current Lizhi contract
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 7.88% across the 2026-04-17 option cycle. With Lizhi trading near $ 13.35, that translates to about $ 1.05 per day in either direction.
Open Interest Coverage for 2026-04-17 Lizhi Option Contracts
This open interest summary for Lizhi reflects contract activity and helps frame liquidity and engagement.
Lizhi Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lizhi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lizhi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lizhi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lizhi Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms that reveal hidden trends within Lizhi's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 508.1 M | Current Value 391.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 150.4 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lizhi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 13.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.57 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.24 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lizhi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lizhi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lizhi | Lizhi Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Lizhi Inc uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 7.52 on the downside to about 19.01 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lizhi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lizhi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5449 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0412 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.2369 |
Mean reversion in Lizhi's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Understanding Lizhi's probability distribution helps investors calibrate position size to their risk tolerance. The tails of the Lizhi distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that naive point estimates ignore.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Using Lizhi's historical news impact data, we estimate the likely price corridor for the next trading session after a significant headline. Lizhi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.58 and 19.12, respectively. Note that past news reactions for Lizhi are not guaranteed to repeat, particularly in novel market environments.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Lizhi Inc uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Lizhi is Slightly Elevated at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lizhi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lizhi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lizhi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 5.74 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events | 6 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.35 | 13.35 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Lizhi Inc is at this time traded for 13.35. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lizhi is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lizhi is about 24956.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.35. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lizhi Inc had its last dividend issued on the 1st of October 2025. The company completed a 1:10 stock split on 20th of September 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lizhi to cross-verify projections for Lizhi. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Understanding how Lizhi's direct competitors react to news events helps investors anticipate contagion effects and sector-wide sentiment shifts that may affect Lizhi's performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QH | Quhuo | -0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 10.89 | -15.82 | 107.11 | |
| ATHR | Aether Holdings | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 7.07 | -10.95 | 27.74 | |
| API | Agora Inc | -0.12 | 11 per month | 2.68 | 0.03 | 4.67 | -4.75 | 15.35 | |
| WFCF | Where Food Comes | -0.06 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 3.13 | -2.93 | 18.75 | |
| RCT | RedCloud Holdings plc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 9.73 | -8.88 | 29.38 | |
| ELTK | Eltek | 0.11 | 28 per month | 0.00 | -0.0011 | 3.68 | -3.21 | 11.97 | |
| TGE | The Generation Essentials | 0.22 | 3 per month | 3.73 | 0.09 | 13.40 | -6.25 | 25.82 | |
| YXT | YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING | -0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 14.52 | -10.13 | 28.46 | |
| PERF | Perfect Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 4.29 | -4.42 | 26.03 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | -0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.36 | 4.90 | -10.17 | 19.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lizhi
The price movement of Lizhi is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Lizhi Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Lizhi Related Equities
The following equities are related to Lizhi within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Lizhi against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lizhi Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Lizhi stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Lizhi Inc.
Lizhi Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Lizhi is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Lizhi's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.78 | |||
| Variance | 33.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lizhi
Coverage intensity for Lizhi Inc matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Lizhi Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Lizhi Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 441.9 M |
Additional Tools for Lizhi Stock Analysis
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data |