ArborGen Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

RUBNF Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  16.67%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ArborGen Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16. ArborGen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ArborGen Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
ArborGen Holdings polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ArborGen Holdings Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ArborGen Holdings Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ArborGen Holdings Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ArborGen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ArborGen Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ArborGen Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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ArborGen Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ArborGen Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ArborGen Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 4.33, respectively. We have considered ArborGen Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.07
0.0007
Downside
0.07
Expected Value
4.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ArborGen Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ArborGen Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.6896
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0027
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.041
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1632
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ArborGen Holdings historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ArborGen Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ArborGen Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.074.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.054.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ArborGen Holdings

For every potential investor in ArborGen, whether a beginner or expert, ArborGen Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ArborGen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ArborGen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ArborGen Holdings' price trends.

ArborGen Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ArborGen Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ArborGen Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ArborGen Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ArborGen Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ArborGen Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ArborGen Holdings' current price.

ArborGen Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ArborGen Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ArborGen Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ArborGen Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ArborGen Holdings Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ArborGen Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of ArborGen Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ArborGen Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arborgen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in ArborGen Pink Sheet

ArborGen Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether ArborGen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ArborGen with respect to the benefits of owning ArborGen Holdings security.