T Rowe Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for T Rowe Price is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of T Rowe. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for T Rowe Price and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for T Rowe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T Rowe Price. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 16.06 16.44 16.82 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.95 16.33 16.71 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 16.38 16.43 16.49 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as T Rowe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against T Rowe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, T Rowe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in T Rowe Price.

T Rowe Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in RPGAX Mutual Fund