Matson Stock Forward View
| MATX Stock | USD 155.36 0.20 0.13% |
Matson Inc's Naive Prediction forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. This page presents the model output and associated accuracy measures as reference information.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Matson Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 148.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.86.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Matson Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Matson. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. The Naive Prediction projections for Matson Inc are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Matson Cash Forecast
Statistical pattern recognition applied to Matson's financial data reveals recurring cycles in cash generation that can be extrapolated to forecast Matson's future financial performance with quantified uncertainty.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 92.7 M | Current Value 141.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 88.7 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Matson Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 148.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 , mean absolute percentage error of 16.16 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Matson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Matson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Matson | Matson Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Matson Inc for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Matson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Matson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.893 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2435 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 197.8565 |
Other Forecasting Options for Matson
The price trajectory of Matson is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Matson Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Matson Related Equities
The following equities are related to Matson within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Matson against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Matson Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Matson stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Matson Inc with greater precision.
Matson Risk Indicators
Reviewing Matson's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Matson's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Matson
Story coverage around Matson Inc often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Matson Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Matson Inc can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.9 M |