Lattice Semiconductor Stock Forward View
| LSCC Stock | USD 92.31 3.69 4.16% |
Lattice Semiconductor's Naive Prediction reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use. The model is fitted to available historical daily prices for Lattice Semiconductor. This page is updated as new daily closing prices become available for Lattice Semiconductor.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lattice Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 98.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.86.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lattice Semiconductor. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lattice Semiconductor. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. All Naive Prediction forecast figures shown for Lattice Semiconductor are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Lattice Semiconductor Cash Forecast
Financial forecasting for Lattice Semiconductor applies quantitative methods to Lattice Semiconductor's historical cash flow data. Revenue trends, working capital cycles, and capital expenditure patterns are embedded in Lattice Semiconductor's historical statements. Working capital efficiency and margin trends are critical inputs to Lattice Semiconductor's cash flow forecast. Modeling how these drivers interact produces a more complete cash flow forecast for Lattice Semiconductor.
Cash | First Reported 1989-03-31 | Previous Quarter 117.9 M | Current Value 133.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 69.9 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lattice Semiconductor on the next trading day is expected to be 98.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.88 , mean absolute percentage error of 13.71 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lattice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lattice Semiconductor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lattice Semiconductor | Lattice Semiconductor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Lattice Semiconductor focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lattice Semiconductor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lattice Semiconductor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7285 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.8829 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.033 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 175.8559 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lattice Semiconductor
Bollinger Bands applied to Lattice Stock price data measure how far Lattice has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Lattice Semiconductor's price data. On-balance volume for Lattice Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Lattice. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Lattice Semiconductor's.Lattice Semiconductor Related Equities
These stocks within the Information Technology space are often compared to Lattice Semiconductor by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Profit comparisons show whether Lattice Semiconductor earns above or below average returns next to its peers. When Lattice Semiconductor breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring. This peer set gives the context needed for a well-rounded view of Lattice Semiconductor.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lattice Semiconductor Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Lattice Semiconductor, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Lattice Semiconductor. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Lattice Semiconductor. These metrics provide actionable context for both entry and risk management decisions around Lattice Semiconductor.
| Accumulation Distribution | 51143.33 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.131902 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 93.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 93.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.69 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.84 |
Lattice Semiconductor Risk Indicators
Analyzing Lattice Semiconductor's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for lattice stock. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Lattice Semiconductor's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing. Analyzing Lattice Semiconductor's risk indicators gives investors important context for price forecasting. Understanding the risk in Lattice Semiconductor's investment allows investors to make informed choices about mitigating exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lattice Semiconductor
Story coverage around Lattice Semiconductor often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Lattice Semiconductor Short Properties
A short-interest review of Lattice Semiconductor provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 133.9 M |