Kardex Stock Forward View

KARN Stock  CHF 250.00  -7.50  -2.91%   
At the current evaluation date, Kardex reflects the relative strength metric of 0, indicating compressed downside momentum. This extreme reading suggests selling pressure has dominated recent sessions and may be due for at least a temporary pause.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Forecasting Kardex's future price from a sentiment perspective requires filtering noise from signal. This module uses a structured approach to news and hype analysis to project a probable near-term direction for Kardex stock. Fundamental inputs shaping Kardex's prediction context:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.05
 EPS Estimate Current Year
9.9785
 EPS Estimate Next Year
11.9496
 Wall Street Target Price
343.3577
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.124
The hype context for Kardex summarizes headline response alongside peer coverage.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kardex on the next trading day is expected to be 236.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 284.57.
Kardex after-hype prediction price
    
  ₣ 249.55  
This sentiment summary adds context across forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings perspectives for the stock.
  
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kardex provides a cross-check on projections for Kardex. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.

Kardex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kardex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kardex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kardex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kardex is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kardex value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kardex on the next trading day is expected to be 236.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.67 , mean absolute percentage error of 37.24 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 284.57 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kardex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kardex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kardex  Kardex Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Kardex uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
250.00
234.12
Downside
236.19
Expected Value
238.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kardex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kardex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.6651
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors284.57
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kardex. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kardex. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.
The mean reversion tendency in Kardex's price is a well-documented phenomenon that disciplined investors can exploit by identifying when price has diverged substantially from fundamental and historical anchors.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
247.48249.55251.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.98217.05275.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
238.06259.93281.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.192.332.45
Details
Comparing Kardex against its competitive peer group transforms raw financial data into actionable insight. Kardex's standing on returns, margins, and growth relative to competitors is the ultimate test of its investment merit.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

The probability distribution chart for Kardex displays the range and likelihood of predicted price outcomes based on Kardex's historical volatility and news impact patterns. Use the full distribution - not just the central estimate - to understand the true risk and reward.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The after-hype price analysis for Kardex uses Kardex's historical news coverage to estimate statistically significant upside and downside price boundaries for the session following a major headline.
Current Value
250.00
247.48
Downside
249.55
After-hype Price
251.62
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Kardex assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kardex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kardex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kardex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.07
  0.45 
  0.37 
4 Events
2 Events
In 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
250.00
249.55
0.18 
59.14  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Kardex is now traded for 250.00on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.37. Kardex is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 249.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 59.14%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Kardex is about 73.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 249.63. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.95. Kardex last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2025. The company completed a 5:1 stock split on 3rd of June 2004. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 4 days.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kardex provides a cross-check on projections for Kardex. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.

Related Hype Analysis

Analyzing Kardex's direct competitors. news reactions provides a leading indicator for how Kardex may respond to comparable market events. The peer hype analysis table captures key risk and sentiment metrics across Kardex's competitive set, helping investors anticipate.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INRNInterroll Holding AG-40.00 3 per month 0.00 -0.20 2.50 -3.37 12.83
BCHNBurckhardt Compression 5.00 4 per month 1.78 0.02 2.44 -2.14 12.03
DAEDaetwyl I-1.80 1 per month 0.00 -0.004 2.18 -2.56 7.77
DOKADorma Kaba Holding-0.20 7 per month 0.00 -0.19 2.68 -2.81 8.55
SRAILStadler Rail AG 0.25 2 per month 0.00  0.0004 3.42 -3.02 14.62
AEROMontana Aerospace AG 0.35 3 per month 2.42 0.07 4.70 -3.90 16.37
BUCNBucher Industries AG 0.50 5 per month 0.00  0.02 1.54 -2.75 5.64
OERLOC Oerlikon Corp-0.02 2 per month 1.69 0.16 3.04 -3.12 21.35
BRKNBurkhalter Holding AG-0.40 2 per month 0.68 0.24 2.39 -1.27 5.18
BOSNBossard Holding AG 8.00 3 per month 0.00 -0.01 2.51 -3.13 10.96

Other Forecasting Options for Kardex

For any investor considering Kardex, Kardex's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Kardex Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.

Kardex Related Equities

The following equities are related to Kardex within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Kardex against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kardex Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Kardex stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Kardex.

Kardex Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kardex's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Kardex's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kardex

Coverage intensity for Kardex matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.

Kardex Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Kardex matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.2 M

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