Vy T Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ITGIX Fund  USD 65.65  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vy T Rowe on the next trading day is expected to be 65.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.70. ITGIX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Vy T - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Vy T prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Vy T price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Vy T Rowe.

Vy T Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vy T Rowe on the next trading day is expected to be 65.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 11.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ITGIX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vy T's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vy T Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vy TVy T Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vy T mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vy T mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0142
MADMean absolute deviation1.2153
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors71.7
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Vy T observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Vy T Rowe observations.

Predictive Modules for Vy T

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vy T Rowe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.6265.6569.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.4869.5173.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.3286.28109.23
Details

Vy T Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vy T mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vy T could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vy T by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vy T Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vy T mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vy T shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vy T mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Vy T Rowe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vy T Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vy T's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vy T's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting itgix mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ITGIX Mutual Fund

Vy T financial ratios help investors to determine whether ITGIX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ITGIX with respect to the benefits of owning Vy T security.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine