HomeToGo Stock Forward View
| HTG Stock | 1.35 -0.01 -0.74% |
HomeToGo SE's Naive Prediction reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics derived from daily trading data. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HomeToGo SE on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.71.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of HomeToGo SE. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict HomeToGo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. This Naive Prediction forecast data for HomeToGo SE is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HomeToGo SE on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0016 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.71 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HomeToGo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HomeToGo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HomeToGo | HomeToGo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for HomeToGo SE uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.01 on the downside to about 4.42 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HomeToGo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HomeToGo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4905 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0275 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0182 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7051 |
Other Forecasting Options for HomeToGo
The movement of HomeToGo price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in HomeToGo Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.HomeToGo Related Equities
The following equities are related to HomeToGo within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing HomeToGo against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HomeToGo Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for HomeToGo to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of HomeToGo SE positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.57 |
HomeToGo Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of HomeToGo's basic risk indicators helps investors understand the risk environment surrounding hometogo stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting HomeToGo's future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.11 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HomeToGo
Story coverage around HomeToGo SE often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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HomeToGo Short Properties
Short-interest signals around HomeToGo SE can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.1 M | |
| Shares Float | 64.6 M |
More Resources for HomeToGo Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in HomeToGo Stock
Financial ratios for HomeToGo provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare HomeToGo across measures in a consistent way.