Formula Systems Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| FORTY Stock | USD 175.52 9.00 5.40% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Formula Systems 1985 on the next trading day is expected to be 170.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 369.32. Formula Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Formula Systems' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
Using Formula Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Formula Systems 1985 from the perspective of Formula Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Formula Systems 1985 on the next trading day is expected to be 170.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 369.32. Formula Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 175.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. Formula Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Formula price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Formula using various technical indicators. When you analyze Formula charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Formula Systems Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Formula Systems 1985 on the next trading day is expected to be 170.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.05, mean absolute percentage error of 62.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 369.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Formula Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Formula Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Formula Systems Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Formula Systems | Formula Systems Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Formula Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Formula Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.2419 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0545 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0422 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 369.3245 |
Predictive Modules for Formula Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formula Systems 1985. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Formula Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Formula Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Formula Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Formula Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Formula Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Formula Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Formula Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Formula Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Formula Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Formula Systems 1985 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Formula Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Formula Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Formula Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting formula stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Variance | 20.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Additional Tools for Formula Stock Analysis
When running Formula Systems' price analysis, check to measure Formula Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formula Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Formula Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formula Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formula Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formula Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.