Expand Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EXEEL Stock | 107.73 6.02 5.92% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Expand Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 107.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.94. Expand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Expand Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Expand Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Expand Energy fundamentals over time.
At this time, Expand Energy's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 5.75 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 1.27. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 164.8 M this year. Expand Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of November 2025
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Expand Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 107.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 4.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Expand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Expand Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Expand Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
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Expand Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Expand Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Expand Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 105.39 and 110.07, respectively. We have considered Expand Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Expand Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Expand Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6619 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3167 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8515 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0091 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 51.94 |
Predictive Modules for Expand Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expand Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expand Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Expand Energy
For every potential investor in Expand, whether a beginner or expert, Expand Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Expand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Expand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Expand Energy's price trends.Expand Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Expand Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Expand Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Expand Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Expand Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Expand Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Expand Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Expand Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Expand Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Expand Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Expand Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Expand Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 107.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 107.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 6.02 |
Expand Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Expand Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Expand Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting expand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Expand Energy to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Expand Stock please use our How to buy in Expand Stock guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Oil & Gas E&P space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expand Energy. If investors know Expand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expand Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Expand Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expand Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expand Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expand Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expand Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expand Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expand Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expand Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.