Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forward View
| DBD Stock | USD 73.20 0.72 0.99% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.154 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.705 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4867 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7167 | Wall Street Target Price 96.6667 |
The hype-based view summarizes Diebold Nixdorf's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage. Options positioning and short interest provide sentiment context for Diebold Nixdorf in this view.
Short Interest Map for Diebold Nixdorf
An investor who is long Diebold Nixdorf may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Diebold Nixdorf and may potentially protect profits, hedge Diebold Nixdorf with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential.
200 Day MA 62.8115 | Short Percent 0.0506 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 857 K | 50 Day MA 73.2454 |
RSI Overview - Diebold
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.60.Diebold Nixdorf Hype Impact Pattern
News-driven sentiment around Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated often diverges from its fundamental value. Tracking the gap between Diebold Nixdorf's news sentiment and price action can identify arbitrage opportunities that close as the market digests available information.
Contrarian investors seek out stocks where sentiment has diverged from fundamental value. For Diebold Nixdorf, tracking the sentiment-to-price relationship can highlight periods where crowd behavior has overshot fair value.
Diebold Nixdorf Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility is a forward-looking measure derived from Diebold Nixdorf's option prices. It represents the market's consensus expectation of how much Diebold Nixdorf's stock will move over a given period - regardless of direction.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.60.Diebold Nixdorf after-hype prediction price | $ 72.46 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, analyst, earnings, and momentum context.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf can be used to cross-verify projections for Diebold Nixdorf. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Summary for current Diebold contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 3.44% for the 2026-04-17 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 73.2, it implies a move of about $ 2.52 per day.
Open Interest Across 2026-04-17 Diebold Option Contracts
Open interest represents the number of active Diebold Nixdorf option contracts and offers a participation signal.
Diebold Nixdorf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diebold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diebold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diebold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Diebold Nixdorf Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in Diebold Nixdorf's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 262.6 M | Current Value 387.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 150 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.97 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.60 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diebold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diebold Nixdorf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diebold Nixdorf | Diebold Nixdorf Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Diebold Nixdorf's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diebold Nixdorf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diebold Nixdorf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4889 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5509 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 94.6035 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of Diebold Nixdorf's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when Diebold Nixdorf's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for Diebold Nixdorf shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about Diebold Nixdorf's likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for Diebold Nixdorf provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. Diebold Nixdorf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.42 and 74.50, respectively. These boundaries are derived from Diebold Nixdorf's past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diebold Nixdorf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diebold Nixdorf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diebold Nixdorf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.04 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 10 Events | 8 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.20 | 72.46 | 0.01 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2026 Diebold Nixdorf is traded for 73.20. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Diebold is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Diebold Nixdorf is about 516.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.14. The company reported last year's revenue of 3.81 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 94.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf can be used to cross-verify projections for Diebold Nixdorf. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how Diebold Nixdorf's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how Diebold Nixdorf itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALKT | Alkami Technology | 1.64 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 4.94 | -5.62 | 20.26 | |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings | 0.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.83 | -6.50 | 27.65 | |
| WBTN | WEBTOON Entertainment Common | 0.41 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.18 | 3.36 | -5.35 | 15.87 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.68 | 11 per month | 4.25 | 0.04 | 6.29 | -5.82 | 20.26 | |
| CXM | Sprinklr | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 2.95 | -5.11 | 10.87 | |
| PLUS | ePlus inc | -2.30 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 2.55 | -2.83 | 7.58 | |
| APPN | Appian Corp | 0.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.24 | 3.84 | -4.53 | 17.60 | |
| ALRM | Alarm Holdings | -0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 3.42 | -2.96 | 8.48 | |
| SPNS | Sapiens International | -0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.28 | -0.12 | 32,006 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | -4.99 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 3.47 | -4.40 | 23.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diebold Nixdorf
For investors of all experience levels considering Diebold, understanding Diebold Nixdorf's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. Diebold Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.Diebold Nixdorf Related Equities
The following equities are related to Diebold Nixdorf within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Diebold Nixdorf against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diebold Nixdorf Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Diebold Nixdorf stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Diebold Nixdorf.
Diebold Nixdorf Risk Indicators
Assessing Diebold Nixdorf's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Diebold Nixdorf's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diebold Nixdorf
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Diebold Nixdorf Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 416.4 M |
More Resources for Diebold Stock Analysis
Understanding Diebold Nixdorf typically begins with financial statements and long-term trend review. Ratio analysis helps investors evaluate Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated Stock operating efficiency and financial trajectory. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf can be used to cross-verify projections for Diebold Nixdorf. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Diebold Nixdorf currently shows ROE of 9.55%, market cap of 2.6 Billion. Diebold Nixdorf analysis should be paired with portfolio risk and diversification tools before adjusting allocations. Diebold Nixdorf analysis across multiple dimensions - risk, valuation, diversification - produces a more informed position-sizing decision. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.154 | Earnings Share 2.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 | Return On Assets |
Diebold Nixdorf's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Diebold's balance sheet. Diebold Nixdorf's market capitalization is 2.6 B. A P/B ratio of 2.32 indicates the market values Diebold Nixdorf above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 3.09 B. Value and price for Diebold Nixdorf are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
Note that Diebold Nixdorf's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Diebold Nixdorf, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 2.32, a profit margin of 2.49%, ROE of 9.55%, and revenue of 3.81 B. By contrast, Diebold Nixdorf market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.