Colgate Palmolive Stock Forward View
| CL Stock | USD 88.84 0.89 1.01% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9435 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8809 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.1483 | Wall Street Target Price 97.2105 |
This section provides headline-driven context for Colgate Palmolive alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Colgate Palmolive's options activity and short interest context.
Colgate Palmolive Short Interest View
A sudden spike in Colgate Palmolive's short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
200 Day MA 84.7992 | Short Percent 0.0272 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.3 M | 50 Day MA 89.468 |
Colgate RSI Context
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Colgate Palmolive on the next trading day is expected to be 86.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.05.Colgate Palmolive Hype-Price Relationship
Sentiment data for Colgate Palmolive synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Colgate Palmolive's sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Colgate Palmolive, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Colgate Palmolive Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
When Colgate Palmolive's implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Colgate Palmolive on the next trading day is expected to be 86.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.05.Colgate Palmolive after-hype prediction price | $ 88.84 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colgate Palmolive can be used to cross-verify projections for Colgate Palmolive. The historical series provides projection context.Rule 16 Overview for current Colgate contract - Risk Context
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0225% across the 2026-04-02 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 88.84, it implies about $ 0.02 per day.
Open Interest Context: Colgate 2026-04-02 Options
Open interest represents the number of active Colgate Palmolive option contracts and offers a participation signal.
Colgate Palmolive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Colgate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colgate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colgate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Colgate Palmolive Cash Forecast
Accurate cash forecasting for Colgate Palmolive requires identifying the key drivers embedded in Colgate Palmolive's financial statements - revenue growth rates, margin trends, and working capital efficiency - and modeling how they evolve over time.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.3 B | Current Value 1.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 404.8 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Colgate Palmolive on the next trading day is expected to be 86.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.05 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Colgate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Colgate Palmolive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Colgate Palmolive | Colgate Palmolive Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Colgate Palmolive uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Colgate Palmolive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Colgate Palmolive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6536 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1137 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 69.0515 |
The mean reversion effect in Colgate Palmolive is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Colgate Palmolive's price dislocation is essential before acting.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution for Colgate Palmolive's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Colgate Palmolive positions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news prediction model for Colgate Palmolive analyzes the correlation between Colgate Palmolive's historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Colgate Palmolive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.29 and 90.39, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Colgate Palmolive.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Colgate Palmolive assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Colgate Palmolive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colgate Palmolive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colgate Palmolive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.55 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 15 Events | 7 Events | In 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
88.84 | 88.84 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
As of March 14, 2026 Colgate Palmolive is listed for 88.84. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Colgate is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Colgate Palmolive is about 3039.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.83. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of April 2026. Colgate Palmolive completed a 2:1 stock split on 16th of May 2013. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 15 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colgate Palmolive can be used to cross-verify projections for Colgate Palmolive. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
Sector-wide news events often affect Colgate Palmolive before the fundamental impact on Colgate Palmolive's own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Colgate Palmolive-specific developments.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DEO | Diageo PLC ADR | -0.66 | 23 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.82 | -3.32 | 20.11 | |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | -0.57 | 10 per month | 1.16 | 0.10 | 2.29 | -1.55 | 6.47 | |
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | 0.24 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.17 | -1.73 | 7.07 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | -1.51 | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.08 | 1.84 | -1.99 | 9.19 | |
| MDLZ | Mondelez International | -0.13 | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.04 | 2.31 | -2.40 | 9.18 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | -0.14 | 11 per month | 0.87 | 0.24 | 2.37 | -1.67 | 7.20 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | -0.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 4.03 | -3.37 | 23.94 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | 0.22 | 20 per month | 1.41 | 0.17 | 3.84 | -2.65 | 7.21 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 1.01 | 13 per month | 1.02 | 0.16 | 1.92 | -2.11 | 7.71 | |
| CLX | The Clorox | 1.14 | 10 per month | 1.80 | 0.12 | 2.44 | -3.07 | 8.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Colgate Palmolive
For both new and experienced investors in Colgate, the ability to analyze Colgate Palmolive's price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Colgate Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.Colgate Palmolive Related Equities
The following equities are related to Colgate Palmolive within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Colgate Palmolive against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Colgate Palmolive Market Strength Events
Tracking market strength indicators for Colgate Palmolive helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in Colgate Palmolive for maximum return potential.
| Accumulation Distribution | 86281.28 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6593 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 88.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 88.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.66 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.89 |
Colgate Palmolive Risk Indicators
Properly assessing Colgate Palmolive's risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Colgate Palmolive's allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Colgate Palmolive
Coverage intensity for Colgate Palmolive matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Colgate Palmolive Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Colgate Palmolive matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 811.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
More Resources for Colgate Stock Analysis
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Colgate Palmolive can be used to cross-verify projections for Colgate Palmolive. The historical series provides projection context. Our How to Invest in Colgate Palmolive guide provides practical guidance on trading Colgate Stock.Analysis related to Colgate Palmolive should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | Dividend Share 2.06 | Earnings Share 2.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
Understanding Colgate Palmolive includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Colgate's accounting equity. Colgate Palmolive's market capitalization is 71.21 B. With a P/B ratio of 1305.48, the market values Colgate Palmolive well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 77.76 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Colgate Palmolive's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Colgate Palmolive, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 24.43, a P/B ratio of 1305.48, a profit margin of 10.46%, and ROE of 49.75%. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.