Captivision Stock Forward View
| CAPT Stock | 0.47 -0.02 -4.08% |
This Naive Prediction reference page for Captivision presents model-generated forecast data based on historical daily prices. The output values and deviation metrics are provided for informational reference.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Captivision on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.57.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Captivision. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Captivision. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. All Naive Prediction forecast figures shown for Captivision are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Captivision Cash Forecast
Predicting Captivision's cash generation capacity requires analysts to model the relationship between Captivision's revenue growth, operating margins, and capital intensity over multiple historical periods.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 548.2 K | Current Value 334.7 K | Quarterly Volatility 105.4 K |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Captivision on the next trading day is expected to be 0.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.003 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.57 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Captivision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Captivision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Captivision | Captivision Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Captivision's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.0047 and upside near 12.28.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Captivision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Captivision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1408 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0414 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0929 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5666 |
Other Forecasting Options for Captivision
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether Captivision is a viable investment for any investor. Captivision Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.Captivision Related Equities
The following equities are related to Captivision within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Captivision against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Captivision Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of Captivision stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading Captivision is most likely to be profitable.
Captivision Risk Indicators
The analysis of Captivision's basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in Captivision's helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 7.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.53 | |||
| Variance | 132.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 97.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 73.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -10.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Captivision
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Captivision can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Captivision Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Captivision is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476.7 K |
Additional Tools for Captivision Stock Analysis
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Portfolio Prophet Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash position to determine if your portfolio needs rebalancing |