Crossamerica Partners Stock Forward View
| CAPL Stock | USD 21.75 -0.42 -1.89% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.41 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.17 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.71 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
This section summarizes Crossamerica Partners LP headline activity and related price response context. Options and short interest metrics are combined here to describe sentiment for Crossamerica Partners.
Short Interest Activity for Crossamerica Partners
Short sellers in Crossamerica Partners profit when Crossamerica Partners' stock falls below their entry price. Monitoring short interest helps long investors understand the magnitude of selling pressure they face.
200 Day MA 21.0854 | Short Percent 0.0065 | Short Ratio 1.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 45.8 K | 50 Day MA 21.6944 |
RSI Momentum View - Crossamerica
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 23.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.87.Hype and Price Context: Crossamerica Partners
When Crossamerica Partners' news sentiment peaks, stock prices often follow with a lag. Similarly, sentiment troughs can mark price bottoms if fundamental business quality remains intact.
Tracking how Crossamerica Partners' sentiment evolves after major announcements helps investors assess whether the market's reaction was proportionate or whether an over-correction created a new entry opportunity in Crossamerica Partners.
Crossamerica Partners Implied Volatility | 1.45 |
The implied volatility skew for Crossamerica Partners options - the difference in implied volatility between puts and calls at different strikes - reveals the market's asymmetric fear of downside versus upside moves in Crossamerica Partners' stock.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 23.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.87.Crossamerica Partners after-hype prediction price | $ 21.73 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
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Rule 16 Reference for the current Crossamerica contract - Pricing Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-04-17 options is about 0.0906%. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 21.75, it implies a move of about $ 0.0197 per day.
Open Interest Distribution for Crossamerica 2026-04-17 Options
Active contract counts for Crossamerica Partners are shown through open interest, offering positioning and liquidity context.
Crossamerica Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crossamerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crossamerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crossamerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Crossamerica Partners Cash Forecast
Predicting Crossamerica Partners's cash generation capacity requires analysts to model the relationship between Crossamerica Partners' revenue growth, operating margins, and capital intensity over multiple historical periods.
Cash | First Reported 2011-12-31 | Previous Quarter 5.8 M | Current Value 3.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 3.5 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crossamerica Partners LP on the next trading day is expected to be 23.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.27 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.87 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crossamerica Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crossamerica Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crossamerica Partners | Crossamerica Partners Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Crossamerica Partners LP uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crossamerica Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crossamerica Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3749 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0176 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.8664 |
The mean reversion framework for Crossamerica Partners is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Visualizing the full distribution of potential Crossamerica Partners outcomes discourages binary thinking about investments. Rather than asking whether Crossamerica Partners' price will go up or down, the distribution approach asks: what is the range of outcomes and how probable is each?
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news-based price prediction model for Crossamerica Partners is transparent: it measures how Crossamerica Partners' has historically reacted to news, not how it will theoretically behave. Crossamerica Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.28 and 23.18, respectively. Investors should use this model as one input among many when evaluating Crossamerica Partners ahead of anticipated news.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Crossamerica Partners LP assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crossamerica Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crossamerica Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crossamerica Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.44 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 4 Events | 8 Events | In 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.75 | 21.73 | 0.09 |
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Hype Timeline
Crossamerica Partners is currently traded for 21.75. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Crossamerica is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Crossamerica Partners is about 281.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.81. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 4 days. Cross-verify projections for Crossamerica Partners using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crossamerica Partners. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype analysis for Crossamerica Partners identifies which competitors tend to lead the sector in their news reactions. These leading indicators provide early signals about the direction of Crossamerica Partners' upcoming performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDS | Precision Drilling | 5.08 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -2.16 | 12.76 | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | 0.14 | 10 per month | 5.82 | 0.20 | 13.75 | -10.99 | 38.63 | |
| NGL | NGL Energy Partners | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.62 | 0.09 | 4.71 | -4.35 | 16.33 | |
| GRNT | Granite Ridge Resources | -0.07 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.04 | 3.53 | -4.37 | 11.62 | |
| GLP | Global Partners LP | 0.29 | 10 per month | 1.64 | 0.08 | 2.43 | -2.87 | 8.73 | |
| VTS | Vitesse Energy | -0.52 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.98 | -2.80 | 14.42 | |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels | -0.15 | 4 per month | 2.50 | 0.01 | 4.50 | -4.27 | 15.03 | |
| TXO | MorningStar Partners LP | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.07 | 2.66 | -2.80 | 6.52 | |
| TK | Teekay | 0.18 | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.12 | 3.15 | -2.66 | 14.80 | |
| BORR | Borr Drilling | -0.11 | 10 per month | 3.07 | 0.12 | 6.45 | -5.54 | 16.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crossamerica Partners
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether Crossamerica is a viable investment for any investor. Crossamerica Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.Crossamerica Partners Related Equities
The following equities are related to Crossamerica Partners within the Energy space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Crossamerica Partners against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crossamerica Partners Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of Crossamerica Partners stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading Crossamerica Partners LP is most likely to be profitable.
Crossamerica Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crossamerica Partners' basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in Crossamerica Partners' helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crossamerica Partners
Coverage intensity for Crossamerica Partners LP matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Crossamerica Partners Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Crossamerica Partners LP matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
More Resources for Crossamerica Stock Analysis
Reviewing Crossamerica Partners commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Crossamerica Partners LP Stock. Below are reports that help frame Crossamerica Partners LP Stock in context:Cross-verify projections for Crossamerica Partners using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crossamerica Partners. The historical view provides additional context. Analysis related to Crossamerica Partners should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.41 | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.09 |
Investors evaluate Crossamerica Partners using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Crossamerica Partners' market capitalization is 829.44 M. With a P/B ratio of 284.08, the market values Crossamerica Partners well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 1.64 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
The concept of value for Crossamerica Partners differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Crossamerica Partners, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 6.93, a P/B ratio of 284.08, a profit margin of 1.25%, and ROE of 75.24%. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.