Cabka NV Stock Forward View
| CABKA Stock | 1.80 0.05 2.86% |
This reference page presents Naive Prediction forecast data for Cabka NV. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cabka NV on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.84.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cabka NV. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cabka NV. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. This Naive Prediction forecast data for Cabka NV is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cabka NV on the next trading day is expected to be 1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0016 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.84 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cabka Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cabka NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cabka NV | Cabka NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Cabka NV for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. At the moment, the model places downside around 0.02 and upside around 4.33 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cabka NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cabka NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4896 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0297 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.844 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cabka NV
Cabka NV's daily price returns can be decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Cabka often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration.Cabka NV Related Equities
Sizing up Cabka NV against these stocks within the Packaging & Containers space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Market cap and total value checks frame Cabka NV's size within the competitive field. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to Cabka NV often signals structural advantages or weaknesses. Combining quantitative ratios with qualitative context such as management quality and market position sharpens peer comparisons.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cabka NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors evaluate how Cabka NV stock reacts to evolving market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Cabka NV.
Cabka NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cabka NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Cabka NV's allows investors to make informed decisions about their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cabka NV
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Cabka NV can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Cabka NV Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Cabka NV can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
More Resources for Cabka Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Cabka Stock
Financial ratios highlight how financial values interact within Cabka NV. All information reflects the latest available financial data and is presented for reference purposes.