America Movil Stock Forward View
| AMX Stock | USD 24.73 -0.13 -0.52% |
This page provides Naive Prediction reference data for America Movil SAB, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from America Movil's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of America Movil SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.88.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of America Movil SAB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict America Movil. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. The Naive Prediction reference information for America Movil is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. America Movil Cash Forecast
Projecting America Movil's cash position requires modeling complex interactions between revenue and capital cycles. These tools uncover hidden patterns in America Movil's financial statements to forecast their impact on future performance.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 49.8 B | Current Value 35 B | Quarterly Volatility 47.9 B |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of America Movil SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.26 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.88 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict America Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that America Movil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest America Movil | America Movil Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates America Movil's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 24.40 and upside near 28.70.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of America Movil stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent America Movil stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7707 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4243 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.8847 |
Other Forecasting Options for America Movil
The autocorrelation structure of America Movil's daily returns reveals whether America exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in America Stock price data.America Movil Related Equities
Investors studying America Movil often look at related stocks within the Communication Services space to gauge pricing and results. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across America Movil's peer group. Persistent outperformance or underperformance by specific peers relative to America Movil often signals structural advantages or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
America Movil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to America Movil stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing America Movil.
America Movil Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for America Movil is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in America Movil's investment and either accepting or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for America Movil
A coverage review of America Movil SAB shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
America Movil Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to America Movil SAB matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35 B |