AcadeMedia Stock Forward View
| ACAD Stock | SEK 97.80 -0.30 -0.31% |
AcadeMedia AB's Naive Prediction forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. This page presents the model output and associated accuracy measures as reference information.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AcadeMedia AB on the next trading day is expected to be 92.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.57.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of AcadeMedia AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict AcadeMedia. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. The Naive Prediction projections for AcadeMedia AB are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AcadeMedia AB on the next trading day is expected to be 92.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.26 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.57 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AcadeMedia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AcadeMedia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AcadeMedia | AcadeMedia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for AcadeMedia AB uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. At the moment, the model places downside around 90.91 and upside around 94.37 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AcadeMedia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AcadeMedia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1298 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5414 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 95.5668 |
Other Forecasting Options for AcadeMedia
The price trajectory of AcadeMedia is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. AcadeMedia Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.AcadeMedia Related Equities
The following equities are related to AcadeMedia within the Education & Training Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing AcadeMedia against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AcadeMedia Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of AcadeMedia stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in AcadeMedia AB with greater precision.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1291.16 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.17 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 98.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 98.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.65 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.30 |
AcadeMedia Risk Indicators
Reviewing AcadeMedia's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding AcadeMedia's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AcadeMedia
A coverage review of AcadeMedia AB shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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AcadeMedia Short Properties
Short-interest signals around AcadeMedia AB can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
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