1 Year Expected Inflation Indicator

Measurement
Percent
Indicator Type or Source
Inflation Indicator
Period End Date
October 1, 2025
Clasification
Inflation
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
1 Year Expected Inflation Indicator is an economic indicator measured in Percent. It covers the period from Friday, December 20, 1985, to Wednesday, October 1, 2025, and is updated monthly. Please note, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Please view all Inflation indicators for more information or continue to All Top Economic Indicators.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (fred.stlouisfed.org)

40-Year History of 1 Year Expected Inflation Indicator

The above interactive chart and the table below show the 40-year history of 1 year expected inflation indicator going back to Friday, December 20, 1985. The current value is 2.74 which was updated on Wednesday, October 1, 2025. Historical data enables economists and other stakeholders to identify patterns and trends over time. This can provide insights into how different sectors of the economy are likely to perform under similar conditions in the future.
Oct 1, 20252.74  
Sep 1, 20252.8  
Aug 1, 20252.69  
Jul 1, 20252.79  
Jun 1, 20252.38  
May 1, 20252.69  
Apr 1, 20252.89  
Mar 1, 20252.18  
Feb 1, 20252.73  
Jan 1, 20252.63  
Dec 1, 20242.65  
Nov 1, 20242.43  
Oct 1, 20242.26  
Sep 1, 20242.24  
Aug 1, 20242.35  
Jul 1, 20242.56  
Jun 1, 20242.73  
May 1, 20242.94  
Apr 1, 20242.7  
Mar 1, 20242.08  
Feb 1, 20242.43  
Jan 1, 20242.42  
Dec 1, 20233.09  
Nov 1, 20232.79  
Oct 1, 20232.77  
Sep 1, 20232.81  
Aug 1, 20232.61  
Jul 1, 20232.47  
Jun 1, 20231.37  
May 1, 20232.65  
Apr 1, 20232.65  
Mar 1, 20232.07  
Feb 1, 20232.61  
Jan 1, 20232.68  
Dec 1, 20222.87  
Nov 1, 20223.24  
Oct 1, 20222.88  
Sep 1, 20224.18  
Aug 1, 20223.38  
Jul 1, 20223.31  
Jun 1, 20224.23  
May 1, 20223.63  
Apr 1, 20223.39  
Mar 1, 20223.06  
Feb 1, 20222.63  
Jan 1, 20222.24  
Dec 1, 20212.62  
Nov 1, 20212.48  
Oct 1, 20211.85  
Sep 1, 20212.68  
Aug 1, 20212.46  
Jul 1, 20212.07  
Jun 1, 20212.06  
May 1, 20211.87  
Apr 1, 20211.75  
Mar 1, 20211.51  
Feb 1, 20211.68  
Jan 1, 20211.45  
Dec 1, 20201.65  
Nov 1, 20201.42  
Oct 1, 20201.4  
Sep 1, 20201.58  
Aug 1, 20201.68  
Jul 1, 20201.57  
Jun 1, 20200.51  
May 1, 2020-0.22  
Apr 1, 2020-0.0504  
Mar 1, 20200.99  
Feb 1, 20201.65  
Jan 1, 20201.8  
Dec 1, 20191.7  
Nov 1, 20191.7  
Oct 1, 20191.72  
Sep 1, 20191.64  
Aug 1, 20191.71  
Jul 1, 20191.75  
Jun 1, 20191.61  
May 1, 20192.19  
Apr 1, 20192.04  
Mar 1, 20191.38  
Feb 1, 20191.79  
Jan 1, 20191.8  
Dec 1, 20181.98  
Nov 1, 20182.17  
Oct 1, 20182.21  
Sep 1, 20182.41  
Aug 1, 20182.13  
Jul 1, 20182.12  
Jun 1, 20181.59  
May 1, 20181.97  
Apr 1, 20181.85  
Mar 1, 20181.69  
Feb 1, 20182.14  
Jan 1, 20181.9  
Dec 1, 20172.82  
Nov 1, 20172.07  
Oct 1, 20171.95  
Sep 1, 20172.06  
Aug 1, 20171.65  
Jul 1, 20171.71  
Jun 1, 20170.96  
May 1, 20171.56  
Apr 1, 20171.72  
Mar 1, 20171.5  
Feb 1, 20171.94  
Jan 1, 20172.1  
Dec 1, 20162.29  
Nov 1, 20161.9  
Oct 1, 20161.74  
Sep 1, 20162.06  
Aug 1, 20161.59  
Jul 1, 20161.65  
Jun 1, 20161.28  
May 1, 20161.66  
Apr 1, 20161.69  
Mar 1, 20160.78  
Feb 1, 20161.12  
Jan 1, 20161.47  
Dec 1, 20151.47  
Nov 1, 20151.31  
Oct 1, 20151.31  
Sep 1, 20151.93  
Aug 1, 20151.72  
Jul 1, 20151.8  
Jun 1, 20151.78  
May 1, 20151.7  
Apr 1, 20151.59  
Mar 1, 20150.8  
Feb 1, 20150.38  
Jan 1, 20150.92  
Dec 1, 20142.19  
Nov 1, 20141.32  
Oct 1, 20141.6  
Sep 1, 20142.12  
Aug 1, 20141.81  
Jul 1, 20141.86  
Jun 1, 20141.53  
May 1, 20141.77  
Apr 1, 20141.65  
Mar 1, 20141.22  
Feb 1, 20141.59  
Jan 1, 20141.64  
Dec 1, 20131.92  
Nov 1, 20131.45  
Oct 1, 20131.56  
Sep 1, 20132.2  
Aug 1, 20131.8  
Jul 1, 20131.0  
Jun 1, 20131.35  
May 1, 20131.18  
Apr 1, 20131.46  
Mar 1, 20131.0  
Feb 1, 20131.36  
Jan 1, 20131.32  
Dec 1, 20122.1  
Nov 1, 20121.66  
Oct 1, 20121.61  
Sep 1, 20121.93  
Aug 1, 20121.37  
Jul 1, 20121.3  
Jun 1, 20120.79  
May 1, 20121.59  
Apr 1, 20121.69  
Mar 1, 20121.36  
Feb 1, 20121.5  
Jan 1, 20121.47  
Dec 1, 20111.71  
Nov 1, 20111.51  
Oct 1, 20111.47  
Sep 1, 20111.01  
Aug 1, 20111.51  
Jul 1, 20112.43  
Jun 1, 20112.12  
May 1, 20112.29  
Apr 1, 20112.08  
Mar 1, 20112.11  
Feb 1, 20111.95  
Jan 1, 20111.79  
Dec 1, 20101.49  
Nov 1, 20101.4  
Oct 1, 20101.37  
Sep 1, 20100.91  
Aug 1, 20101.34  
Jul 1, 20100.96  
Jun 1, 20101.35  
May 1, 20101.56  
Apr 1, 20101.59  
Mar 1, 20101.97  
Feb 1, 20101.73  
Jan 1, 20101.7  
Dec 1, 20091.79  
Nov 1, 20091.81  
Oct 1, 20091.63  
Sep 1, 20092.36  
Aug 1, 20092.02  
Jul 1, 20091.55  
Jun 1, 20091.27  
May 1, 20091.3  
Apr 1, 20091.23  
Mar 1, 2009-0.48  
Feb 1, 20090.38  
Jan 1, 20090.47  
Dec 1, 20080.28  
Nov 1, 20080.78  
Oct 1, 20081.61  
Sep 1, 20082.73  
Aug 1, 20083.05  
Jul 1, 20082.95  
Jun 1, 20082.73  
May 1, 20082.29  
Apr 1, 20082.02  
Mar 1, 20081.93  
Feb 1, 20082.3  
Jan 1, 20082.47  
Dec 1, 20072.54  
Nov 1, 20072.63  
Oct 1, 20072.29  
Sep 1, 20072.57  
Aug 1, 20072.65  
Jul 1, 20072.61  
Jun 1, 20073.21  
May 1, 20072.92  
Apr 1, 20072.72  
Mar 1, 20072.8  
Feb 1, 20072.64  
Jan 1, 20072.68  
Dec 1, 20061.99  
Nov 1, 20061.89  
Oct 1, 20062.4  
Sep 1, 20062.65  
Aug 1, 20062.87  
Jul 1, 20062.8  
Jun 1, 20062.74  
May 1, 20062.88  
Apr 1, 20062.68  
Mar 1, 20061.77  
Feb 1, 20062.51  
Jan 1, 20062.4  
Dec 1, 20053.23  
Nov 1, 20053.05  
Oct 1, 20052.85  
Sep 1, 20052.35  
Aug 1, 20052.46  
Jul 1, 20052.33  
Jun 1, 20052.36  
May 1, 20052.58  
Apr 1, 20052.46  
Mar 1, 20052.33  
Feb 1, 20052.14  
Jan 1, 20052.14  
Dec 1, 20041.75  
Nov 1, 20042.21  
Oct 1, 20042.15  
Sep 1, 20042.68  
Aug 1, 20042.34  
Jul 1, 20042.26  
Jun 1, 20042.57  
May 1, 20042.21  
Apr 1, 20041.85  
Mar 1, 20041.7  
Feb 1, 20041.99  
Jan 1, 20041.91  
Dec 1, 20032.22  
Nov 1, 20031.93  
Oct 1, 20031.79  
Sep 1, 20031.98  
Aug 1, 20031.85  
Jul 1, 20031.63  
Jun 1, 20032.28  
May 1, 20031.84  
Apr 1, 20031.99  
Mar 1, 20031.9  
Feb 1, 20032.11  
Jan 1, 20032.08  
Dec 1, 20021.95  
Nov 1, 20022.03  
Oct 1, 20022.01  
Sep 1, 20022.04  
Aug 1, 20022.13  
Jul 1, 20022.35  
Jun 1, 20022.34  
May 1, 20022.62  
Apr 1, 20022.59  
Mar 1, 20022.01  
Feb 1, 20022.15  
Jan 1, 20022.29  
Dec 1, 20012.73  
Nov 1, 20012.08  
Oct 1, 20012.29  
Sep 1, 20013.12  
Aug 1, 20012.59  
Jul 1, 20012.69  
Jun 1, 20012.75  
May 1, 20012.72  
Apr 1, 20012.56  
Mar 1, 20012.14  
Feb 1, 20012.63  
Jan 1, 20012.65  
Dec 1, 20003.17  
Nov 1, 20003.1  
Oct 1, 20003.11  
Sep 1, 20003.17  
Aug 1, 20003.12  
Jul 1, 20003.09  
Jun 1, 20003.76  
May 1, 20003.31  
Apr 1, 20003.16  
Mar 1, 20003.24  
Feb 1, 20003.16  
Jan 1, 20003.08  
Dec 1, 19993.16  
Nov 1, 19992.99  
Oct 1, 19992.88  
Sep 1, 19992.69  
Aug 1, 19992.81  
Jul 1, 19992.8  
Jun 1, 19992.35  
May 1, 19992.74  
Apr 1, 19992.7  
Mar 1, 19992.71  
Feb 1, 19992.42  
Jan 1, 19992.4  
Dec 1, 19982.27  
Nov 1, 19982.35  
Oct 1, 19982.36  
Sep 1, 19982.53  
Aug 1, 19982.71  
Jul 1, 19982.74  
Jun 1, 19982.47  
May 1, 19982.64  
Apr 1, 19982.73  
Mar 1, 19982.87  
Feb 1, 19982.62  
Jan 1, 19982.76  
Dec 1, 19972.94  
Nov 1, 19972.93  
Oct 1, 19972.99  
Sep 1, 19973.01  
Aug 1, 19972.97  
Jul 1, 19973.09  
Jun 1, 19973.2  
May 1, 19973.13  
Apr 1, 19973.23  
Mar 1, 19973.23  
Feb 1, 19973.13  
Jan 1, 19973.16  
Dec 1, 19962.96  
Nov 1, 19963.1  
Oct 1, 19963.18  
Sep 1, 19963.13  
Aug 1, 19963.11  
Jul 1, 19963.14  
Jun 1, 19963.23  
May 1, 19963.25  
Apr 1, 19963.13  
Mar 1, 19962.62  
Feb 1, 19962.92  
Jan 1, 19963.0  
Dec 1, 19952.75  
Nov 1, 19952.98  
Oct 1, 19953.13  
Sep 1, 19953.21  
Aug 1, 19953.27  
Jul 1, 19953.26  
Jun 1, 19953.06  
May 1, 19953.47  
Apr 1, 19953.46  
Mar 1, 19953.47  
Feb 1, 19953.56  
Jan 1, 19953.7  
Dec 1, 19943.91  
Nov 1, 19943.57  
Oct 1, 19943.5  
Sep 1, 19943.25  
Aug 1, 19943.29  
Jul 1, 19943.28  
Jun 1, 19943.42  
May 1, 19943.24  
Apr 1, 19943.22  
Mar 1, 19943.27  
Feb 1, 19942.8  
Jan 1, 19942.85  
Dec 1, 19932.66  
Nov 1, 19932.81  
Oct 1, 19932.77  
Sep 1, 19932.69  
Aug 1, 19932.83  
Jul 1, 19932.82  
Jun 1, 19932.81  
May 1, 19932.82  
Apr 1, 19932.91  
Mar 1, 19932.98  
Feb 1, 19932.91  
Jan 1, 19933.05  
Dec 1, 19923.01  
Nov 1, 19923.08  
Oct 1, 19922.95  
Sep 1, 19923.01  
Aug 1, 19923.11  
Jul 1, 19923.28  
Jun 1, 19923.55  
May 1, 19923.41  
Apr 1, 19923.37  
Mar 1, 19923.59  
Feb 1, 19923.34  
Jan 1, 19923.27  
Dec 1, 19913.55  
Nov 1, 19913.49  
Oct 1, 19913.6  
Sep 1, 19913.59  
Aug 1, 19913.77  
Jul 1, 19913.85  
Jun 1, 19913.58  
May 1, 19913.64  
Apr 1, 19913.76  
Mar 1, 19913.79  
Feb 1, 19913.79  
Jan 1, 19914.07  
Dec 1, 19904.89  
Nov 1, 19904.96  
Oct 1, 19905.0  
Sep 1, 19904.73  
Aug 1, 19904.13  
Jul 1, 19904.07  
Jun 1, 19904.19  
May 1, 19904.25  
Apr 1, 19904.13  
Mar 1, 19903.99  
Feb 1, 19904.43  
Jan 1, 19904.15  
Dec 1, 19893.66  
Nov 1, 19894.0  
Oct 1, 19894.22  
Sep 1, 19894.02  
Aug 1, 19894.13  
Jul 1, 19894.33  
Jun 1, 19894.38  
May 1, 19894.85  
Apr 1, 19894.7  
Mar 1, 19894.53  
Feb 1, 19894.4  
Jan 1, 19894.48  
Dec 1, 19884.46  
Nov 1, 19884.25  
Oct 1, 19884.37  
Sep 1, 19884.41  
Aug 1, 19884.36  
Jul 1, 19884.27  
Jun 1, 19883.95  
May 1, 19884.1  
Apr 1, 19883.98  
Mar 1, 19883.68  
Feb 1, 19883.79  
Jan 1, 19883.66  
Dec 1, 19874.08  
Nov 1, 19873.97  
Oct 1, 19874.38  
Sep 1, 19874.28  
Aug 1, 19874.13  
Jul 1, 19874.01  
Jun 1, 19873.98  
May 1, 19873.91  
Apr 1, 19873.64  
Mar 1, 19873.09  
Feb 1, 19873.57  
Jan 1, 19873.48  
Dec 1, 19863.64  
Nov 1, 19863.22  
Oct 1, 19863.47  
Sep 1, 19863.4  
Aug 1, 19863.39  
Jul 1, 19863.57  
Jun 1, 19863.46  
May 1, 19862.85  
Apr 1, 19863.02  
Mar 1, 19863.48  
Feb 1, 19863.97  
Jan 1, 19863.98  
Dec 1, 19854.0  
Nov 1, 19854.27  
Oct 1, 19854.41  
Sep 1, 19854.46  
Aug 1, 19854.43  
Jul 1, 19854.41  
Jun 1, 19854.72  
May 1, 19854.7  
Apr 1, 19854.77  
Mar 1, 19854.99  
Feb 1, 19854.66  
Jan 1, 19854.88  
Dec 1, 19844.85  
Nov 1, 19844.94  
Oct 1, 19845.41  
Sep 1, 19845.1  
Aug 1, 19845.22  
Jul 1, 19845.69  
Jun 1, 19845.59  
May 1, 19845.46  
Apr 1, 19845.42  
Mar 1, 19844.83  
Feb 1, 19845.06  
Jan 1, 19845.25  
Dec 1, 19835.2  
Nov 1, 19835.2  
Oct 1, 19835.12  
Sep 1, 19835.1  
Aug 1, 19835.19  
Jul 1, 19834.96  
Jun 1, 19834.14  
May 1, 19834.62  
Apr 1, 19834.63  
Mar 1, 19834.06  
Feb 1, 19834.6  
Jan 1, 19834.86  
Dec 1, 19824.57  
Nov 1, 19824.65  
Oct 1, 19825.13  
Sep 1, 19826.34  
Aug 1, 19826.37  
Jul 1, 19826.37  
Jun 1, 19825.45  
May 1, 19825.49  
Apr 1, 19826.14  
Mar 1, 19826.39  
Feb 1, 19826.43  

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